Mehran 2 Bleeding Risk Score
Estimate the risk of 30-day non-CABG-related major bleeding in patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes (ACS), using the integer-based ACUITY/HORIZONS-AMI model developed by Mehran et al.
Patient characteristics
Enter baseline clinical and laboratory data, ACS presentation, and anticoagulation regimen.
| Score component | Points |
|---|---|
| No calculation yet. | |
Risk categories: low (<10), moderate (10–14), high (15–19), and very high (≥20).
About the Mehran Bleeding Risk Score
The score was developed to estimate 30-day non-CABG-related major bleeding in patients with ACS. The derivation and validation dataset included 17,421 patients from the ACUITY and HORIZONS-AMI trials. The model had a c-statistic of 0.74.
The integer score combines six baseline clinical/laboratory predictors with the anticoagulation regimen. The reference score assumes heparin/enoxaparin plus a GPI; 5 points are subtracted for bivalirudin monotherapy.
Scoring components
| Variable | Criterion | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Sex | Female | +8 |
| Age | <50 / 50–59 / 60–69 / 70–79 / ≥80 years | 0 / 3 / 6 / 9 / 12 |
| Creatinine | <1.00 / 1.00–1.19 / 1.20–1.39 / 1.40–1.59 / 1.60–1.79 / 1.80–1.99 / ≥2.00 mg/dL | 0 / 2 / 3 / 5 / 6 / 8 / 10 |
| WBC | <10 / 10–11.9 / 12–13.9 / 14–15.9 / 16–17.9 / 18–19.9 / ≥20 ×10⁹/L | 0 / 2 / 3 / 5 / 6 / 8 / 10 |
| Anemia | Hb <13 g/dL (men) or <12 g/dL (women) | +6 |
| Presentation | Biomarker-negative ACS / NSTEMI with elevated biomarkers / STEMI | 0 / 2 / 6 |
| Treatment | Heparin/enoxaparin + GPI / bivalirudin monotherapy | 0 / −5 |
Risk categories and observed 30-day event rates
| Score | Category | Heparin + GPI | Bivalirudin alone |
|---|---|---|---|
| <10 | Low | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 10–14 | Moderate | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| 15–19 | High | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| ≥20 | Very high | 12.4% | 8.4% |
Percentages are observed cohort rates reported in the original study's risk strata, not an individualized probability generated from a continuous equation. The original study reported that the score distribution under bivalirudin monotherapy is adjusted by subtracting 5 points.
References
Model scope and limitations
- Developed from ACUITY and HORIZONS-AMI trial populations with ACS managed using an invasive strategy.
- Outcome: 30-day non-CABG-related major bleeding; CABG-related bleeding is not the predicted outcome.
- The original paper describes the score as a practical risk tool and notes that external validation in another dataset is desirable.
- Antithrombotic practice and bleeding definitions have evolved since 2010; interpret the estimate in its historical derivation context.
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