LACE Index Calculator – Hospital Readmission and Mortality Risk
LACE Index Calculator
Estimate 30-day risk of death or unplanned readmission after hospital discharge.
The expected probabilities are from the original Canadian derivation cohort. They may not be calibrated to other healthcare systems or patient populations.
About the LACE Index
The LACE index is a prognostic score developed to estimate the risk of early death or unplanned readmission within 30 days after discharge from hospital to the community. It combines four routinely available variables: length of stay, acuity of admission, comorbidity burden, and prior emergency department use.
The total score ranges from 0 to 19. The expected probability displayed by this calculator corresponds to the original model's score-specific estimates, not a locally recalibrated prediction.
Scoring Components
| Component | Patient value | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Length of stay | <1 day | 0 |
| 1 day | 1 | |
| 2 days | 2 | |
| 3 days | 3 | |
| 4–6 days | 4 | |
| 7–13 days | 5 | |
| ≥14 days | 7 | |
| Acuity | Elective / planned | 0 |
| Acute / emergent | 3 | |
| Charlson score | 0 / 1 / 2 / 3 / ≥4 | 0 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Prior ED visits | 0 / 1 / 2 / 3 / ≥4 | 0 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 |
Expected 30-Day Risk in the Original Model
These are expected probabilities of death or unplanned readmission reported by van Walraven et al. (2010). They are not standalone readmission probabilities.
| LACE score | Expected risk | LACE score | Expected risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 10 | 12.2% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 11 | 14.4% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 12 | 17.0% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 13 | 19.8% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 14 | 23.0% |
| 5 | 5.1% | 15 | 26.6% |
| 6 | 6.1% | 16 | 30.4% |
| 7 | 7.3% | 17 | 34.6% |
| 8 | 8.7% | 18 | 39.1% |
| 9 | 10.3% | 19 | 43.7% |
References
Important Limitations
- The original derivation population consisted of cognitively intact adult medical or surgical patients discharged to the community.
- Predictive performance may vary across populations, hospitals, and healthcare systems.
- The original study reported moderate discrimination (external validation C-statistic 0.684).
- The score does not identify the specific cause of a potential readmission and does not establish an individual patient's outcome.
- Local validation and recalibration are needed before using the expected probabilities for operational decisions in a different population.
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