Aerobic Capacity Prediction (METs) Calculator
Predicted Exercise Capacity
Estimate age- and sex-predicted exercise capacity using the equation selected in the original calculator.
—Predicted METs
About Predicted Exercise Capacity
Metabolic equivalents (METs) express the energy cost of activity; exercise-test capacity is commonly estimated from workload and protocol, while cardiopulmonary exercise testing can measure oxygen uptake more directly. This calculator estimates an age-predicted reference value and does not measure an individual patient's achieved METs or VO₂ peak.
Equation used
| Sex category | Equation |
|---|---|
| Male | Predicted METs = 14.7 − (0.11 × age) |
| Female | Predicted METs = 14.7 − (0.13 × age) |
Clinical context and limitations
- These equations are population-derived reference estimates and should not be treated as a diagnostic threshold or an individual fitness measurement.
- Alternative prediction equations exist, particularly for men; estimates can vary by derivation cohort, population, and testing method.
- Do not infer mortality risk from this predicted value alone. Prognostic interpretation depends on achieved exercise capacity and the wider clinical context.
- Exercise-test results should be interpreted with symptoms, ECG findings, haemodynamic response, medications, protocol, and the reason for test termination.
References
Gulati M, et al.The prognostic value of a nomogram for exercise capacity in women. New England Journal of Medicine. 2005;353:468–475. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa044154. Article DOI
Association of Exercise Capacity on Treadmill With Future Cardiac Events in Patients Referred for Exercise Testing.Archives of Internal Medicine. 2008. The article describes the equations 14.7 − (0.13 × age) for women and 14.7 − (0.11 × age) for men. Article page
Myers J, et al.External prognostic validations and comparisons of age- and gender-adjusted exercise capacity predictions. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2007;50(19):1862–1868. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2007.08.003. This study compared multiple equations and highlights that prediction models are not interchangeable. Article DOI
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